Financial guidance for 2025 (Financial Statements Bulletin 1-12/2024, 19 February 2025)
The Marimekko Group’s net sales for 2025 are expected to grow from the previous year (2024: EUR 182.6 million). Comparable operating profit margin is estimated to be approximately some 16–19 percent (2024: 17.5 percent). Development of consumer confidence and purchasing power especially in Finland as well as general uncertainties and possible disruptions in global supply chains, among others, cause volatility to the outlook for 2025.
Uncertainties related to the development of net sales and result are described in more detail in the risks section.
Market outlook and growth targets for 2025 (Financial Statements Bulletin 1-12/2024, 19 February 2025)
The uncertainties related to the development of the global economy, such as geopolitical tensions and their impact on the general economic situation, and general cost inflation influence consumer confidence, purchasing power and behavior and, as a result, can have an impact on Marimekko’s business in 2025, especially in the important domestic market of Finland. Different exceptional situations may cause even significant disruptions in production and logistics chains, and may thus have a negative impact on the company’s sales, profitability and cash flow.
Finland, Marimekko’s important domestic market, traditionally represents about half of the company’s net sales. Sales in Finland in 2025 are impacted by the weak general economy and low consumer confidence as well as the development of purchasing power and behavior. In addition, the tactical operating environment continues to have an impact on the business. The timing between quarters of the non-recurring promotional deliveries in Finnish wholesale sales and their size typically vary on an annual basis. In 2025, the non-recurring promotional deliveries in wholesale sales are expected to be significantly lower than in the comparable year and weighted clearly in the second half of the year. Despite the weak market situation, net sales in Finland are expected to be approximately at the level of the previous year.
International sales are estimated to grow in 2025. In the strategy period 2023–2027, Marimekko focuses on Asia as the most important geographical area for international growth. In 2025, net sales in the Asia-Pacific region, Marimekko’s second-largest market, are expected to increase. All brick-and-mortar Marimekko stores and most online stores in Asia are partner-owned. In 2025, the aim is to open approximately 10–15 new Marimekko stores and shop-in-shops, and most of the planned openings will be in Asia.
Licensing income in 2025 is forecasted to be significantly below the previous year’s record level.
Due to the seasonal nature of Marimekko’s business, a major portion of the company’s euro-denominated net sales and operating result are traditionally generated during the second half of the year. Net sales and operating profit in the first quarter of 2025 are significantly impacted by timing differences from the comparison period. In the comparable year, a large amount of non-recurring promotional deliveries in Finnish wholesale sales occurred exceptionally during the first quarter of the year. In addition, a significant part of licensing income in 2024 was recorded already during the first quarter of the year, unlike in 2025.
Marimekko develops its business with a long-term view and aims to continue scaling its profitable growth in the upcoming years. In 2025, fixed costs are expected to be up on the previous year. The general cost inflation continues to also affect Marimekko in 2025. Personnel expenses are impacted, for example, by general pay increases in different markets. Marketing expenses are expected to increase (2024: EUR 10.6 million).
Early commitments to product orders from supplier partners, typical of the industry and partly further emphasized due to different factors, undermine the company’s ability to optimize product orders and respond to rapid changes in demand and consumer behavior, which also increases risks related to sales, inventory management, cashflow and relative profitability. There are still significant uncertainties related to global production and logistic chains, which may cause delays. If realized, these kinds of delays can have an impact on the company’s sales and profitability. Marimekko works actively to ensure functioning production and logistics chains, to avoid delays, to mitigate the negative impacts of generally increased costs, and to enhance inventory management.
Marimekko is closely monitoring the general economic situation, the development of consumer confidence and purchasing power and the impacts of possible exceptional situations and disruptions, and the company will adjust its operations and plans according to the circumstances.